My New York Times piece on China and the US
My op-ed is an urgent wake-up call for the US. China is forging ahead on AI, robotics, high-tech manufacturing, etc. Meanwhile, Trump is destroying the pillars of American power.
“For years, theorists have posited the onset of a “Chinese century”: a world in which China finally harnesses its vast economic and technological potential to surpass the United States and reorient global power around a pole that runs through Beijing. That century may already have dawned, and when historians look back they may very well pinpoint the early months of President Trump’s second term as the watershed moment when China pulled away and left the United States behind…”
Read the full piece:
The New York Times: In the Future, China Will Be Dominant. The U.S. Will Be Irrelevant
Great article and summarises my conclusions formed over the last 3 years of visiting china. I am European, very heavly US Influenced but since living in Singapore for 6 years and seeing China first hand, I have realised that the US/EU centric world alliances are on their way out. China is an extremely well run bohemoth if a superpower, and most of all an intrinsically peacfull bear totally focussed on self reliance. It will dominate the next 200 years for sure.
Can an empire with a military as large and globally entrenched as the USA’s be “irrelevant?” I’m not trying to be glib here - I agree with the main thrust of the article. There are just some hard power realities that a purely economic policy analysis misses. The Soviet Union collapsed, the Russian Army continues to menace its neighbors. America can self-weaken but it’s probably Too Big to Not Matter.